The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Pennsylvania shows Clinton leading Barack Obama by just five percentage points, 47% to 42%. For Clinton, that five-point edge is down from a ten-point lead a week ago, a thirteen-point lead in mid-March and a fifteen-point advantage in early March.Support for Clinton slipped from 52% early in March, to 51% in mid-month, 49% a week ago, and 47% today. During that same time frame, support for Obama has increased from 37% to 42%.
There's an 11% margin of error on here, so that means a statistical tie, with Obama possibly coming out ahead of her. Does this really show that her "sniper-fire" lie has come back to bite her?
If she doesn't win PA, or comes very close to losing (possibly even losing the delegate race there) does this mean the end? I think so. Mathematically, it's a near impossibility for her to win, even now, and if she doesn't pull some serious delegate action in PA, then there's very well no way she could even convince A superdelegate that she's worth a vote, much less a switch-over from an Obama preendorsement.
What will it take for her to quit, and can anyone out there either close the door on her, or escort her out of it?


Comments (3)
What this poll shows is how inaccurate and unreliable polls are. 11% margin of error? What's the point of even having a poll?! It could mean they are tied, or it could also conceivably mean that Clinton is actually ahead 58-31, right? Remember when all the polls showed him up in RI?
It would be nice if Obama took Pennsylvania, but I don't think he will. I just hope he makes it close...
Posted by Toby
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April 2, 2008 11:41 AM
Posted on April 2, 2008 11:41
But... The RealClearPolitics average has Clinton only 6pts ahead...
Posted by Toby
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April 2, 2008 1:52 PM
Posted on April 2, 2008 13:52
Don't forget that there's still THREE weeks left before the Primary.
That's a lot of time for him to catch up and pass.
Also, considering the floundering that the Clinton sockpuppets are doing over the past few days when it comes to supers and the pledged count, they have a LONG way to go in the credibility field.
Posted by Patrick
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April 2, 2008 2:44 PM
Posted on April 2, 2008 14:44