Can he pull off the upset? (Spitball Politics)

Can he pull off the upset?

At this moment, only two counties remain to be counted in Indiana. NBC has been holding out on calling the election for Clinton because of those two counties, Lake and Union. Union county, a rural, white county with just over 7,000 people. Lake county, however, has an 25% black population of over 485,000 people (including Gary, IN, a predominantly black city with 85%).

Hillary just addressed her people claiming victory in Indiana, thanking the people for giving her the "opportunity" to continue on to the convention.

Fingers are crossed that Lake county can pull up the 4% points needed for Obama to break her and ruin her "victory" speech.

Update:
NBC just called Indiana for Clinton by a razor-thin margin (likely under 15K votes). The interesting thing about tonight is that she seems to have canceled all of her public events for Wednesday. Didn't Romney do that right before he pulled out?

Posted by Patrick on May 6, 2008 9:44 PM | Permalink

Comments (8)

sidfaiwu

After the huge loss in NC and narrow victory in IN, I think it's time that Clinton starts working towards a graceful exit that unifies the party behind Obama.

Clinton may be doing just that. In her victory speech in Indiana, she said, "...I can assure you that no matter what happens I will work for the nominee of the Democratic party." That was step one. Next, I think she's going to take the temperature of the undecided super delegates and make a decision within a few weeks based on what she hears from them.

Posted by sidfaiwu | May 7, 2008 8:21 AM

Posted on May 7, 2008 08:21

Scott

Yeah but she also said that she was on a fast track to the WH or something like that.

Posted by Scott | May 7, 2008 10:49 AM

Posted on May 7, 2008 10:49

sidfaiwu

Of course. She's still in the election. I'm pointing out that she's begun hedging her statements in case she has to drop out. It's at least public acknowledgment that it's a possibility. I don't think dropping out suddenly is a good tactic.

Posted by sidfaiwu | May 7, 2008 11:32 AM

Posted on May 7, 2008 11:32

Patrick

For once it seems, I agree with you Sid.

Although I yearn for the day she concedes the nomination to Obama, a sudden announcement wouldn't be prudent with the rhetoric she's been shoveling over the past few months. If she dropped out immediately and then right away started fighting FOR him, it would make her look even more insincere and false-hearted than she already does, maybe even driving more voters away from the Democratic party.

Posted by Patrick | May 7, 2008 12:47 PM

Posted on May 7, 2008 12:47

Scott

Faking it to avoid looking like she's faking it? Wow, that's a new level of deception.

Posted by Scott | May 7, 2008 2:42 PM

Posted on May 7, 2008 14:42

Toby

Well, it seems that we might already be seeing a cleaner campaign (see here: http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/05/07/a-different-kind-of-campaign.aspx ). So, though it looks like she won't drop out right away, perhaps we will see a more civilized discourse; one that highlights their differences with John McCain, rather than each other.

Posted by Toby | May 7, 2008 3:34 PM

Posted on May 7, 2008 15:34

sidfaiwu

Does anyone 'fake it' while trying to look like they are faking it? I suppose comedians do.

Posted by sidfaiwu | May 7, 2008 3:41 PM

Posted on May 7, 2008 15:41

Patrick

After the last few months, I won't believe it until I see it. I doubt she's got the mettle to take the Huckabee route and "support without officially supporting" Obama while still scheming a way to usurp the nomination from him at the convention.

Posted by Patrick | May 7, 2008 3:41 PM

Posted on May 7, 2008 15:41

Can he pull off the upset?

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