Main

Primaries Archives

March 12, 2008

Obama Wins Mississippi

Now with over 99% of the ballots counted, it's official: Barack Obama wins the Mississippi Democratic Primary!

Here are some of the results that count:

    Male Voters:
  • Obama - 61%
  • Clinton - 38%
    Female Voters:
  • Obama - 58%
  • Clinton - 39%
    Black Voters:
  • Obama - 92%
  • Clinton - 8%
    White Voters:
  • Obama - 26%
  • Clinton - 70%
    Aged 17-64:
  • Obama - 63%
  • Clinton - 35%
    Aged 55+:
  • Obama - 43%
  • Clinton - 55%
    Income < $50,000:
  • Obama - 66%
  • Clinton - 31%
    Income > $50,000:
  • Obama - 52%
  • Clinton - 45%

Just from these numbers (from the MSNBC Polls), I think it's evident that there's a definite racial gap in Mississippi, but it looks like Clinton's losing her grasp on the female, the rich, and the old voters who swung more toward Obama in the last two contests than ever before.

Also, he pulled away by another 17 or so delegates last night...

...and sealed up his 30th win!

April 1, 2008

Obama: Movin' on Up.

From Rasmussen:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Pennsylvania shows Clinton leading Barack Obama by just five percentage points, 47% to 42%. For Clinton, that five-point edge is down from a ten-point lead a week ago, a thirteen-point lead in mid-March and a fifteen-point advantage in early March.

Support for Clinton slipped from 52% early in March, to 51% in mid-month, 49% a week ago, and 47% today. During that same time frame, support for Obama has increased from 37% to 42%.

There's an 11% margin of error on here, so that means a statistical tie, with Obama possibly coming out ahead of her. Does this really show that her "sniper-fire" lie has come back to bite her?

If she doesn't win PA, or comes very close to losing (possibly even losing the delegate race there) does this mean the end? I think so. Mathematically, it's a near impossibility for her to win, even now, and if she doesn't pull some serious delegate action in PA, then there's very well no way she could even convince A superdelegate that she's worth a vote, much less a switch-over from an Obama preendorsement.

What will it take for her to quit, and can anyone out there either close the door on her, or escort her out of it?

August 23, 2008

In case you hadn't heard,

Obama has picked Biden. No text message last night. It never came. Not that it mattered, though: the media beat him to the punch. Too bad, too. I really liked the idea of notifying the American people directly, rather than through the media... No matter. McCain already has an attack ad out. The convention starts on Monday. Now, it gets fun.

About Primaries

This page contains an archive of all entries posted to Spitball Politics in the Primaries category. They are listed from oldest to newest.

Caucuses is the previous category.

Superdelegates is the next category.

Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

Creative Commons License
This weblog is licensed under a Creative Commons License.